Eight Straight: New-Vehicle Prices Mark Another Record High in November 2021, According to Kelley Blue Book
- A larger mix of SUVs and pickups helped drive up prices in November; car mix dropped from nearly 30% in 2018 to under 22% in 2021, among the lowest levels ever.- Incentives fell to a record low, averaging only 4.1% of average transaction price.- Mitsubishi, Acura, Jeep and VW delivered the largest year-over-year price gains, all up more than 20% in November.
IRVINE, Calif., Dec. 10, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- New-vehicle prices increased further into record territory in November, including a modest increase from the month prior. According to new data released today by Kelley Blue Book, average transaction prices (ATPs) are sharply elevated from last year, up more than 13% from November 2020. New-vehicle inventory levels remain tight, and with sufficient consumer demand, dealers have been able to hold prices at or above the manufacturer's suggested retail price (MSRP). In recent research from Cox Automotive, nearly 70% of franchised dealers indicated their new-vehicle prices are higher than pre-pandemic levels.
While prices were elevated last month, sales were slow, with sales volume at the lowest level of the year. November was the sixth straight month of volume declines. In fact, at 1,020,355 units, November's sales hit the lowest level since April 2020, when the global pandemic first shut down the economy.
"High prices and limited choices likely are keeping many car buyers on the sidelines," said Kayla Reynolds, analyst for Cox Automotive. "It's still a seller's market, and we don't expect things to change anytime soon. However, with high prices being the norm right now for both new and used vehicles, that means trade-in values are very favorable and can help soften the blow for consumers as they purchase their next vehicle."
Luxury vehicle sales, which normally increase in November and December, comprised 17.4% of total sales in November and helped to drive ATPs higher. For comparison, luxury sales made up only 15.9% of the market six months ago in May, and five years ago in November 2016, luxury sales accounted for only 14.4% of the U.S. market. In November 2021, the average luxury buyer paid $61,455 for a new vehicle, a record-setting sum nearly $1,000 more than sticker price. In comparison, one year ago luxury vehicles were selling for more than $3,000 under MSRP.
The average price paid for a new non-luxury vehicle last month was $43,144, also a record high and more than $900 over sticker. For each of the last six months, the average price paid by consumers was above the MSRP.
Even the most affordable segments registered big year-over-year gains, according to the Kelley Blue Book analysis. Subcompact car transaction prices in November were up 17% year-over-year, while compact car prices were up 16%. On the other end of the affordability spectrum, full-size SUVs showed the smallest year-over-year gains, up only 4.8% year-over-year, with average transaction prices climbing above $73,000.
One reason overall new-vehicle transaction prices remain elevated is because more affordable sedans are taking a smaller share of the market. In November 2021, cars ($41,026 ATP) on average were more affordable than new SUVs ($45,201 ATP), trucks ($54,462 ATP), or vans ($46,523 ATP). Cars also had higher incentives at 4.7%, expressed as a percentage of ATP. Overall, industry incentives fell to a record low, averaging only 4.1%. In addition, market share for cars reached among the lowest levels ever, plummeting to 21.7%. In comparison, in November 2020 cars commanded 24.5% share, and in November 2018 car share was nearly 30%. As fewer cars are sold, trucks and SUVs dominate the market driving ATPs to track higher.
Manufacturer** | November | October | November | Percent | Percent | ||
BMW | $61,624 | $61,802 | $58,072 | -0.3% | 6.1% | ||
Daimler | $73,721 | $74,765 | $62,733 | -1.4% | 17.5% | ||
Ford Motor Company | $50,531 | $51,117 | $46,793 | -1.1% | 8.0% | ||
Geeley Auto Group | $56,888 | $56,131 | $50,120 | 1.3% | 13.5% | ||
General Motors | $53,432 | $54,430 | $45,829 | -1.8% | 16.6% | ||
Honda Motor Company | $35,801 | $35,408 | $30,776 | 1.1% | 16.3% | ||
Hyundai Motor Group | $35,799 | $34,804 | $29,844 | 2.9% | 20.0% | ||
Mazda Motor Corporation | $33,735 | $34,722 | $30,243 | -2.8% | 11.5% | ||
Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi | $33,998 | $34,652 | $30,339 | -1.9% | 12.1% | ||
Rivian | $78,762 | $78,883 | -0.2% | ||||
Stellantis | $52,475 | $51,253 | $44,781 | 2.4% | 17.2% | ||
Subaru Corporation | $35,443 | $34,737 | $32,056 | 2.0% | 10.6% | ||
Tata Motors | $86,121 | $87,823 | $81,086 | -1.9% | 6.2% | ||
Tesla Motors | $55,516 | $54,567 | $52,852 | 1.7% | 5.0% | ||
Toyota Motor Corporation | $39,959 | $41,633 | $36,311 | -4.0% | 10.0% | ||
Volkswagen Group | $48,174 | $47,645 | $46,589 | 1.1% | 3.4% | ||
Industry | $46,329 | $46,026 | $40,937 | 0.7% | 13.2% | ||
*Kelley Blue Book average transaction prices do not include applied consumer incentives **Manufacturers included has been updated | |||||||
Make | November | October | November | Percent | Percent | ||
Acura | $50,433 | $49,883 | $40,170 | 1.1% | 25.5% | ||
Alfa Romeo | $49,867 | $48,621 | $44,988 | 2.6% | 10.8% | ||
Audi | $60,470 | $60,315 | $55,713 | 0.3% | 8.5% | ||
BMW | $63,480 | $64,094 | $60,208 | -1.0% | 5.4% | ||
Buick | $40,082 | $38,120 | $35,006 | 5.1% | 14.5% | ||
Cadillac | $70,989 | $81,084 | $61,427 | -12.5% | 15.6% | ||
Chevrolet | $50,554 | $51,394 | $42,217 | -1.6% | 19.7% | ||
Chrysler | $46,658 | $45,502 | $40,182 | 2.5% | 16.1% | ||
Dodge | $46,128 | $44,932 | $39,270 | 2.7% | 17.5% | ||
Fiat | $26,543 | $17,624 | $28,700 | 50.6% | -7.5% | ||
Ford | $49,971 | $50,569 | $46,047 | -1.2% | 8.5% | ||
Genesis | $59,189 | $59,801 | $50,539 | -1.0% | 17.1% | ||
GMC | $62,839 | $63,562 | $55,486 | -1.1% | 13.3% | ||
Honda | $33,989 | $33,736 | $29,544 | 0.8% | 15.0% | ||
Hyundai | $34,466 | $33,450 | $29,295 | 3.0% | 17.7% | ||
Infiniti | $58,357 | $59,055 | $50,165 | -1.2% | 16.3% | ||
Jaguar | $69,360 | $74,953 | $60,495 | -7.5% | 14.7% | ||
Jeep | $49,751 | $49,566 | $39,945 | 0.4% | 24.5% | ||
Kia | $34,521 | $33,736 | $30,072 | 2.3% | 14.8% | ||
Land Rover | $87,085 | $88,940 | $83,490 | -2.1% | 4.3% | ||
Lexus | $54,183 | $53,837 | $50,403 | 0.6% | 7.5% | ||
Lincoln | $63,694 | $62,037 | $59,295 | 2.7% | 7.4% | ||
Mazda | $33,735 | $34,722 | $30,243 | -2.8% | 11.5% | ||
Mercedes-Benz | $73,721 | $74,765 | $62,733 | -1.4% | 17.5% | ||
Mini | $36,308 | $35,434 | $33,409 | 2.5% | 8.7% | ||
Mitsubishi | $29,504 | $28,233 | $23,058 | 4.5% | 28.0% | ||
Nissan | $33,258 | $34,101 | $29,225 | -2.5% | 13.8% | ||
Porsche | $96,557 | $101,071 | $102,088 | -4.5% | -5.4% | ||
Ram | $58,565 | $56,791 | $53,215 | 3.1% | 10.1% | ||
Subaru | $35,443 | $34,737 | $32,056 | 2.0% | 10.6% | ||
Tesla | $55,516 | $54,567 | $52,852 | 1.7% | 5.0% | ||
Toyota | $37,951 | $39,406 | $34,088 | -3.7% | 11.3% | ||
Volkswagen | $35,613 | $36,251 | $29,218 | -1.8% | 21.9% | ||
Volvo | $56,707 | $55,737 | $50,120 | 1.7% | 13.1% | ||
Industry | $46,329 | $46,026 | $40,937 | 0.7% | 13.2% | ||
*Kelley Blue Book average transaction prices do not include applied consumer incentives | |||||||
Segment | November | October | November | Percent | Percent | ||
Compact Car | $25,650 | $25,236 | $22,178 | 1.6% | 15.7% | ||
Compact SUV/Crossover | $33,392 | $34,099 | $30,478 | -2.1% | 9.6% | ||
Electric Vehicle | $56,437 | $55,625 | $53,117 | 1.5% | 6.2% | ||
Entry-level Luxury Car | $51,367 | $50,834 | $45,001 | 1.0% | 14.1% | ||
Full-size Car | $42,804 | $42,501 | $39,436 | 0.7% | 8.5% | ||
Full-size Pickup Truck | $58,985 | $58,269 | $54,366 | 1.2% | 8.5% | ||
Full-size SUV/Crossover | $72,003 | $69,948 | $68,678 | 2.9% | 4.8% | ||
High Performance Car | $108,784 | $98,690 | $100,836 | 10.2% | 7.9% | ||
High-end Luxury Car | $120,480 | $119,865 | $101,645 | 0.5% | 18.5% | ||
Hybrid/Alternative Energy | $33,390 | $33,261 | $28,680 | 0.4% | 16.4% | ||
Luxury Car | $74,290 | $75,706 | $65,525 | -1.9% | 13.4% | ||
Luxury Compact | $52,329 | $50,357 | $47,557 | 3.9% | 10.0% | ||
Luxury Full-size | $101,114 | $101,540 | $95,414 | -0.4% | 6.0% | ||
Luxury Mid-size | $67,636 | $67,737 | $64,391 | -0.1% | 5.0% | ||
Luxury Subcompact | $44,584 | $44,207 | $40,238 | 0.9% | 10.8% | ||
Mid-size Car | $31,713 | $31,591 | $27,541 | 0.4% | 15.1% | ||
Mid-size Pickup Truck | $41,417 | $41,759 | $37,956 | -0.8% | 9.1% | ||
Mid-size SUV/Crossover | $45,696 | $45,826 | $41,673 | -0.3% | 9.7% | ||
Minivan | $45,916 | $45,242 | $39,279 | 1.5% | 16.9% | ||
Small/Mid-size Pickup | $29,421 | $30,148 | -2.4% | ||||
Sports Car | $46,454 | $44,986 | $42,617 | 3.3% | 9.0% | ||
Subcompact Car | $21,954 | $21,084 | $18,811 | 4.1% | 16.7% | ||
Subcompact | $29,661 | $29,291 | $25,720 | 1.3% | 15.3% | ||
Van | $47,100 | $49,177 | $43,407 | -4.2% | 8.5% | ||
Industry | $46,329 | $46,026 | $40,937 | 0.7% | 13.2% | ||
*Kelley Blue Book average transaction prices do not include applied consumer incentives | |||||||
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About Kelley Blue Book (www.kbb.com)
Founded in 1926, Kelley Blue Book, The Trusted Resource®, is the vehicle valuation and information source trusted and relied upon by both consumers and the automotive industry. Each week the company provides market-reflective values on its top-rated website KBB.com, including its famous Blue Book® Trade-In Values and Kelley Blue Book® Price Advisor tool, which provides a range for what consumers can reasonably expect to pay for a vehicle in their area. Car owners looking to sell immediately can also get a redeemable, transaction-ready offer with Kelley Blue BookSM Instant Cash Offer. The company also provides vehicle pricing and values through various products and services available to car dealers, auto manufacturers, finance and insurance companies, and governmental agencies. Kelley Blue Book is a Cox Automotive brand.
About Cox Automotive
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